Home of Fight Expert Picks: UFC Perth
This Saturday, UFC Fight Night returns to RAC Arena in Perth for a stacked card headlined by a light heavyweight clash between Carlos Ulberg and Dominick Reyes—both are top ten contenders with major title implications at stake. Ulberg enters on an eight-fight win streak and is renowned for his explosive striking, while Reyes, once the closest fighter to dethroning Jon Jones, aims to reclaim form with his ferocious finishing power. This main event promises fireworks, as Ulberg’s volume and composure meet Reyes’ early-round aggression and knockout threat.
On the main card, keep a close watch on the featherweight bout between Australian Jack Jenkins and the dangerous Ramon Taveras; Jenkins, fighting at home, brings relentless pressure, while Taveras is known for creative offense. Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan at light heavyweight could be a grappling war or a one-shot KO; Crute, who aims for an early finish, has rediscovered his edge. Welterweight veterans Jake Matthews and Neil Magny square off in a bout with historic stakes, as Magny looks to climb the all-time UFC wins list.
On the prelims, Navajo Stirling vs. Rodolfo Bellato at light heavyweight stands out for knockout artistry, while Loma Lookboonmee faces Alexia Thainara in a compelling strawweight striker showcase. With heavyweights Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland set to throw bombs, plus rising prospects across divisions, UFC Perth promises high-level action from start to finish.
With a great fight card on tap, money can be made at the sportsbook this Saturday night. Home of Fight is here to help put money in your pockets and cash out at the window this Saturday night. Let’s take a look at the Home of Fight expert picks for UFC Perth.
Carlos Ulberg vs. Dominick Reyes
- HayJive – Carlos Ulberg
“Reyes resurgence hasn’t been against the best competition level, and I think Ulberg is in his prime. I expect both guys to land but I think Ulberg lands more and has better durability.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Carlos Ulberg
“Ulberg is very accurate and will have the crowd on his side. His length could give Reyes trouble here.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Carlos Ulberg
“I do believe that this will be a close fight where both fighters have their moments, though the technique, defensive savvyness of Ulberg will allow him to play it safe towards getting a decision win.”
- Corrie – Carlos Ulberg
“My heart says Reyes’ but Carlos definitely has the sharper minute-winning tools with his pace, accuracy, and ability to control the range which to me… Makes him the more reliable side. Reyes has the power to change things with one shot, but Ulberg’s consistency and durability give me more confidence in backing him here.”
- The Fight Analyst – Carlos Ulberg
“This certainly will be a tough fight for Ulberg, but he’s got the speed, athleticism, and technical acumen on his side. As long as he can avoid the power of Reyes and defend the takedowns, he should pick him apart at range to get the nod on the judge’s scorecards and be next in line for a light heavyweight title shot.”
Jimmy Crute vs. Ivan Erslan
- HayJive – Ivan Erslan
“I’m gonna take a shot on Erslan here to get his first UFC win. If Crute can’t sub him early, I think he’s in trouble.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Ivan Erslan
“Ivan is durable, has shown moments of being good, and has power. Should be a closer fight than the odds show.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Jimmy Crute
“Jimmy Crute has looked confident following his return to combat. While Erslan is a solid opponent, the difference is the experience from Crute against solidified names.”
- Corrie – Ivan Erslan
“If Jimmy Crute doesn’t find that early finish, Ivan Erslan has the cardio and durability to take over once Crute slows down. At +160, I like Erslan’s chances to either steal the later rounds or put Crute away outright… But I will be also eyeballing this fight for Crute TD props.”
- The Fight Analyst – Jimmy Crute
“Crute had a ton of promise early in his career but has faltered against the elite in the division. However, he finally got back into the win column in a big way against Prachnio and he should keep it going against Erslan who’s just not UFC caliber. While Erslan is tough and has a chin on him, he’s just about average in every aspect. Crute’s power and grappling will be the difference maker as he takes Erslan down and sinks in the sub to make it two in a row on his home soil.”
Jack Jenkins vs. Ramon Taveras
- HayJive – Jack Jenkins
“Jenkins has far more weapons to utilize in MMA and as long as he uses at least a few of them (Kicks, Clinch, Wrestling) he should win.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Jack Jenkins
“Ramon’s boxing stance may leave him open to getting his leg kicked repeatedly and Jenkins is great with them. Another guy with a crowd advantage as well.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Jack Jenkins
“Jenkins is a skilled striker with aggressive lowkicks, which in my eyes, will be a key differential towards getting his hand raised.”
- Corrie – Jack Jenkins
“I love Jack Jenkins’ calf kicks and body work and I hope that can make it tough for Tavares to get comfortable but Tavares’ southpaw stance might cause some issues for Jenkins here in general…. That said, both guys have real power and defensive holes, so while I’ll loosely say Jenkins to keep his cool throughout the fight and win, I’d rather play it safe and take the over on rounds since I expect a close, competitive fight.”
- The Fight Analyst – Jack Jenkins
“Jenkins gets a favorable matchup against the smaller Taveras who’s moving up to fight at 145 lbs for the first time in his career. Taveras certainly packs a punch, but skill for skill Jenkins has him beat everywhere. Aside from a flash KO, Jenkins should have his way with Taveras potentially putting him away late or getting the nod on all three judge’s scorecards.”
Jake Matthews vs. Neil Magny
- HayJive – Jake Matthews
“Jenkins has far more weapons to utilize in MMA and as long as he uses at least a few of them (Kicks, Clinch, Wrestling) he should win.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Jake Matthews
“Jake’s youth, speed, and grappling should be enough to beat Magny who is nearly 40 years old now.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Jake Matthews
“Both men who have been staple names in the welterweight division. I believe that Matthews has the experience paired with youth to deal with the pressure from Magny in order to find the win.”
- Corrie – Neil Magny
“I’m running it back with the Magny dogshot once again, especially as a big underdog. His length, volume, and veteran experience always make him a tricky puzzle to solve and while Matthews is the younger, sharper finisher, Magny’s durability and ability to drag guys into ugly, drawn-out fights gives him real upset potential here.”
- The Fight Analyst – Jake Matthews
“I am not overthinking this, Jake Matthews is still a stud regardless of some of the tough losses he’s taken. He’s younger, stronger, more powerful than Magny at this stage of his career and that should be enough for him to get the win in his backyard.”
Justin Tafa vs. Louie Sutherland
- HayJive – Justin Tafa
“I hate this fight, but I’ll take Tafa because of the speed and striking capabilities. Sutherland didn’t stick out to me when watching his film.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Louie Sutherland
“Louie just needs to avoid the power shots and I believe he can get his wrestling going, do damage, and win.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Louie Sutherland
“While Tafa is the more experienced fighter, I do believe the versatility of Sutherland can help him here. As always with Heavyweight MMA, be careful when betting…”
- Corrie – Louie Sutherland
“My take on Sutherland is still one that’s undetermined but considering the fact that I’ve banned myself from ever putting money on the Tafa brothers again? I gotta take the new guy. Louie is also just straight up, brute, aggression, and looks like an animal in there, and I think that pressure will overwhelm Tafa early and quickly.”
- The Fight Analyst – Louie Sutherland
“This is an ugly heavyweight matchup. Tafa’s got one round to get the KO or Sutherland will land the takedown and get the finish from there.”
Tom Nolan vs. Charlie Campbell
- HayJive – Charlie Campbell
“I’ll take a shot on Campbell to pull off the upset. If he can get past the length on Nolan I think he has a good chance to land big shots and mix in takedowns.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Charlie Campbell
“Charlie is sharp with his striking. Nolan can get hurt and I believe it could happen here.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Tom Nolan
“Underrated scrap between two unranked lightweights. The maturity and activity of Nolan will be a differential here, though Campbell can be different.”
- Corrie – Tom Nolan
“Tom’s tall, rangy southpaw frame paired with a sharp jab and strong Muay Thai base makes him tough to deal with at range and with Charlie coming in on short notice, traveling across the world, and not fighting in over a year, I have to side with Nolan, though I still think this will be a close and competitive fight considering the fact that they’re both young and hungry here.”
- The Fight Analyst – Tom Nolan
“This should be a banger to kick off the main card. Two lightweights with knockout power. I believe Nolan’s length will give Campbell some trouble at range. However, it could take just one punch from either one to get the KO as we’ve seen both get chin checked before. Ultimately, I believe Nolan cracks Campbell’s chin first and gets the emphatic KO win in front of his home crowd.
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