UFC Vegas 107 | HOF Picks
Home of Fight Expert Picks: UFC Vegas 107
UFC Vegas 107 returns to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas this Saturday, May 31, with a pivotal women’s flyweight main event as No. 4 ranked Erin Blanchfield faces No. 5 Maycee Barber in a bout that could shape the next title challenger at 125 pounds. Blanchfield enters the cage after a unanimous decision win over former strawweight queen Rose Namajunas, showcasing her elite grappling and ever-improving striking. Barber, meanwhile, is riding a six-fight win streak, most recently outpointing Katlyn Cerminara, and brings relentless pressure and physicality to the Octagon.
The co-main event features Poland’s Mateusz Gamrot against Slovakia’s L’udovit Klein in a lightweight clash that promises high-paced action and technical exchanges. Also on the main card, welterweights Billy Ray Goff and Ramiz Brahimaj square off, Dustin Jacoby meets Bruno Lopes at light heavyweight, and Zachary Reese takes on Dusko Todorovic in a middleweight tilt.
The prelims are stacked with intriguing matchups, including a women’s bantamweight showdown between Ketlen Vieira and Macy Chiasson, and a flyweight battle pitting Jafel Filho against Allan Nascimento. With 11 bouts across nine weight classes, UFC Vegas 107 offers a blend of rising prospects and seasoned contenders, setting the stage for a night of compelling MMA action.
With a great fight card on tap, money can be made at the sportsbook this Saturday night. Home of Fight is here to help put money in your pockets and cash out at the window this Saturday night. Let’s take a look at the Home of Fight expert picks for UFC Vegas 107.
Blanchfield vs Barber | HOF
Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber
- HayJive – Maycee Barber
“This should be a great fight for women’s MMA, I think blanchfield has a great ground game but she struggles to get it there. If she can’t get those takedowns, I see Maycee making her pay while the fight is on the feet. I’ll take Barber to pull the upset.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Erin Blanchfield
“This should be a close fight, but I like seeing that Blanchfield consistently lands high volume and has the wrestling threat on her side all 25 minutes. This will be Maycee’s first 5 round fight.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Erin Blanchfield
“Blanchfield knows how to get her hand raised, at times following the path of least resistance. She’s an aggressive wrestler, when it goes her way. If it doesn’t she’s fully comfortable exploring the clinch exchanges.”
- Corrie – Erin Blanchfield
“Barber is so physical but I’m nervous taking someone that went through what she did medically who then got better, and proceeded to slam fighters and previous fights in interviews since. It’s not a good look and the overall attitude she’s surrounding herself with tells me enough about her headspace and mindset and it’s not selling me on the dog shot against Erin who’s just been absolutely mauling girls left and right.”
- The Fight Analyst – Erin Blanchfield
“Barber has been out for almost 15 months due to injury, and while she has been on an impressive six-fight winning streak, she hasn’t faced the caliber of grappling she will face against Blanchfield this weekend. Seeing as lesser grapplers have taken Barber down, Blanchfield shouldn’t have an issue imposing her will in this fight. Seeing as Barber has only 1 finish in the last 6 years, Blanchfield shouldn’t have to worry about much coming her way as she bullies Barber, takes her down, rinses, and repeats for 5 rounds to get the nod on the scorecards.”
Gamrot vs Klein | HOF
Mateusz Gamrot vs. L’udovit Klein
- HayJive – L’udovit Klein
“Gamrot will definitely be the best wrestler Klein has faced, but that’s doesn’t scare me off. Klein is entering his prime with a lot of momentum, if he can make the time spent on the feet count then I think he’ll be able to get his hand raised.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Mateusz Gamrot
“The small cage at the apex could be an advantage for Gamrot and his wrestling attack. Klein will have to defend takedown after takedown without gassing out, and I believe Gamrot will find success in those exchanges.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Mateusz Gamrot
“Klein’s takedown defense is quite high, and Gamrot is in fact hittable, though he does bounce back in most occasions, finding ways to gather control time. While Klein is exciting, this is a considerable step down in competition for Gamrot.”
- Corrie – L’udovit Klein
“Flip a coin here tbh but I’m picking Klein because his striking is sharper, he’s peaking right now, and Gamrot’s not exactly a finisher. If Klein can keep it standing majority of the time which is likely considering his takedown defense, he’ll be the more effective fighter round by round.”
- The Fight Analyst – Mateusz Gamrot
“While it seems like Gamrot is on the decline and Klein is surging right now, it’s tough to go against the style of fighting Gamrot brings to the table, especially in the Apex. Gamrot’s relentless grappling pressure will be nonstop, and regardless if Klein stuffs the initial takedown, he will keep chain wrestling until Klein is exhausted. Ultimately, Klein gets cardio-wrestled into oblivion for Gamrot to get back on track this weekend.”
Marcel Dorff | X
Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Billy Ray Goff
- HayJive – Billy Ray Goff
“Goff will have to mind his P’s and Q’s in round 1, but I expect him to pull away as the minutes go by. His pressure style is draining, especially on a guy in Brahimaj that doesn’t look like the same fighter after rd 1.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Billy Ray Goff
“Billy is ultra tough, can wrestle defensively, and will have more volume, power, and speed. Brahimaj slows down and is very hittable which is what I think Billy will exploit.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Billy Ray Goff
“Goff is more active, has a bigger positive momentum at the moment.”
- Corrie – Billy Ray Goff
“I hate the price tag but I’m picking Billy because he’s just so freaking tough and has the kind of pressure that wears guys down over three rounds. Ramiz is definitely live early, but if he doesn’t get the finish, I don’t think he can keep up.”
- The Fight Analyst – Billy Ray Goff
“Goff was unsuccessful in his UFC debut against the towering Trey Waters but this is a much more forgiving matchup against an inferior striker in Brahimaj. While Brahimaj did have an impressive KO of Gall in his last fight, it will be very difficult for him to have that same success here against Goff. As long as Goff’s 100% takedown defense holds up, he should put it on Brahimaj, either getting him out of there midway through the fight or get the nod on the scorecards.”
Marcel Dorff | X
Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes
- HayJive – Dustin Jacoby
“Jacoby is aging but this seems like a step down in the competition he’s been facing. He should be faster and sharper on the feet and could very likely find an early KO.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Dustin Jacoby
“There’s a large striking and experience difference here, and Jacoby should use both to his advantage. I’ve got to go with the veteran in Jacoby that will win many minutes on the feet.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Dustin Jacoby
“I believe Jacoby’s more ample experience, paired with his recent momentum of a KO over a young prospect will help him find the shots over an aggressive fighter in Lopes, who could be feeling the nerves from Jacoby’s systematic pressure and entries on strikes.”
- Corrie – Dustin Jacoby
“I lean Jacoby here solely because he’s a bit more technical and tested, and I think that matters in a fight where both guys are going to throw at a similar pace. Bruno’s got potential, but I’m not convinced he’s ready for someone this seasoned just yet.”
- The Fight Analyst – Dustin Jacoby
“Jacoby gets a cake matchup here this weekend against Lopes. Jacoby is the far-superior striker by a massive margin and has the takedown defense to keep the fight standing. As long as Jacoby doesn’t get stuck along the fence, he should be able to pick Lopes apart with ease, potentially getting the mid-round KO to keep his winning ways intact.”
Marcel Dorff | X
Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson
- HayJive – Macy Chiasson
“I expect a lot of clinching in this one, and I favor Macy in that positition. I also think Macy’s striking is a bit sharper. I’ll take Macy by close decision.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Macy Chiasson
“Mace should throw more volume and is a dangerous submission grappler. Wherever this fight goes, it should play out close but I believe Chiasson can land more damage to steal the win.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Ketlen Vieira
“Simple, Vieira is more well-rounded, has had close fights with solid opponents, and former champions of the weight class, has solid fight IQ, and is ok having a more dull fight if it means it will have her hand raised.”
- Corrie – Macy Chiasson
“Chiasson has built solid momentum with impressive finishing ability and strong grappling, while Vieira, despite being more technical, seems to be losing steam and just cannot outland her opponents consistently so in a close fight, that momentum combined with Vieira’s recent struggles gives Chiasson the edge.”
- The Fight Analyst – Ketlen Vieira
“Third time is the charm, as this will be the third time Vieira and Chiasson have been scheduled to face off against one another. While Vieira is just 1-2 in her last 3 fights, her losses have come to the former champion Pennington and to the now title-challenger Kayla Harrison. She has the power on the feet and the BJJ black belt to make this a tough out for Chiasson. As long as Vieira can avoid the big strikes of Chiasson and getting put on her back she should outwork Chiasson en route to a decision victory.”
Marcel Dorff | X
Zachary Reese vs. Dusko Todorovic
- HayJive – Zachary Reese
“Both guys have had their troubles with durability, but I do favor Reese’s overall skillset. He’s the better athlete with more ways to win fights. It should be a car crash, but I’ll take Reese to come out of it with his hand raised.”
- Nolan (TheParlay) – Zachary Reese
“Don’t like this at all, but Reese’s size and athleticism should play a factor. He’s dangerous the the subs and power, something Dusko has struggled with.”
- JJ (TheOctagonKings) – Zachary Reese
“Not going to overcomplicate this. Reese is aggressive early, and is ok taking risks and initiatives in these bouts. He’s facing Todorovic, who can get tagged and be a bit more hesitant. Reese’s marketability have the UFC giving him a Terrence McKinney-like bounce-back, with the intent of him winning.”
- Corrie – Dusko Todorovic
“Reese’s durability is way too sketchy for me to trust, especially coming off his last KO which can only be described as hellish. Duško arguably has the better strength of record, is underrated on the mat, and loves to just bite down and swing, but that’s not without saying his durability is sketchy for me too. That said, if he can survive the first few minutes with Reese, I think he can take over. This fight is very much a dog or pass situation for me.”
- The Fight Analyst – Zachary Reese
“It’s not every day you take a 2-1 favorite coming off a big TKO loss in his most recent fight, but here we are. Reese has the power to chin-check the chinny Dusko Todorovic, who’s on his last legs in his UFC career. As long as Reese can avoid the early bonk from Todorovic, he should land something flush, sitting Todorovic down, putting him away under 1.5 rounds.”
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