Photo via Louis Grasse/PxImages
The 2025 UFC calendar concludes at its most common location, featuring a flyweight banger to send us into the holidays.
If you’re new here, this is my betting primer. I’ve been doing this since starting at numberFire.com in 2019. A few bettors really don’t like the way I break down fights. “Wikicapping” has a bad rap in UFC betting circles. However, I’ve had a goal for a half decade of being able to bet UFC the way I bet the NFL, NBA, MLB, or college football. Advanced stats exist (barely) in UFC, and I’ve developed a predictive model that tries to find the answer using data for fighters with at least 30 recorded octagon minutes or 5 completed fights.
Though the results aren’t linear, I track every pick. I’m going to have some really great stretches — and some really frigid ones. I’ll tweak and adjust the model periodically. I’m not saying I’m going to be right; I just want to get it right, and you’ll get my best effort every week.
I invite you to join the fan club of Matty and I’s YouTube show, but if you missed or would rather read on Friday at the office, I’ve got you.
From a betting perspective, let’s preview UFC Vegas 112: Royval vs. Kape, taking place at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas on Saturday night. The fights start at 7:00 p.m. EST.
UFC Vegas 112 Betting Picks and Props
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Tereza Bleda
Model Results
| Fighter | Win | ITD | Win by KO | Win by Sub | Win by Dec |
| Horth | 43.27% | 23.21% | 20.15% | 3.06% | 20.06% |
| Bleda | 56.73% | 13.16% | 5.64% | 7.52% | 43.57% |
The Twitter rumorsphere certainly had fun with this line movement as Tereza Bleda tumbled from -400 offshore to a playable number on fight week against Jamey-Lyn Horth.
This matchup was re-racked from UFC Atlanta in June, where Horth dominated Vanessa Demopoulos, who is tiny for 115 pounds. Moving her to 125 pounds was cruel. That was a free win for the Canadian, whose best effort came in a competitive loss to Miranda Maverick in the fight prior. She also got a split decision nod against prospect Ivana Petrovic.
Horth’s game isn’t exactly pretty, but she pointed her striking success rate (+0.97 SSR) in the right direction with the Demopoulos effort and has proven to be a tough out in the clinch with a decent rate of takedowns per 15 (1.20) and solid takedown D (76%).
One of two active UFC fighters from the Czech Republic, Bleda’s UFC debut against Natalia Silva chucked her off the deep end, where she was desperately trying to clinch the title contender before a third-round (T)KO loss. Otherwise, she picked up decision wins on Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS) and against Gabriella Fernandes, who has three straight dubs since that loss.
Bleda’s entire game is predicated on takedown volume (6.70 attempts per 15) and excellent cardio, which isn’t an unfamiliar formula outside the rankings at women’s flyweight. Petrovic is pretty much the same fighter.
Having seen that fight and believing Ivana could (and should) have gotten the nod, I don’t mind the model’s result behind a younger fighter with the best win of these two’s UFC careers. This isn’t a high enough level of MMA that a rehabbed ACL tear would matter as considerably as the line has shifted.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Bleda’s late-week number isn’t great, but I’ve got her decision at +130. That prop is still showing value when Horth is a black belt and can stay safe if she’s grounded.
Allen Frye Jr. vs. Guilherme Pat
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Frye Jr. | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
| Pat | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
How dead is the heavyweight division? They need talent so badly that they can’t afford to send one of Allen Frye Jr. or Guilherme Pat home from DWCS even if they lose.
To be fair to matchmakers, both representatives here are heavyweights in shape, which can’t be said for everyone on the roster above 205 pounds.
As the favorite, Pat certainly has the experience advantage on paper after an appearance for LFA in Brazil, which was a violent, momentous onslaught. His gym, the Lotus Club in Sao Paulo, certainly has plenty of activity from the city’s regional scene, so I don’t want to write it off even if Pat is the lone UFC representative at present. At 6’5″ with an 81″ reach, he’s got the frame and athleticism to be a real contender if his skills follow.
A.J. Frye comes from Derek Brunson’s gym with regional experience in Arkansas, and he’s a similarly athletic, toolsy prospect at 6’4″ that is lighter on his feet than the average heavyweight. A win over Bellator alum (and victor) Justin Frazier is likely the best win of these two, and it came in the first round.
If you hadn’t gathered, film analysis isn’t my greatest strength, and I have no measuring stick on training partners or UFC-caliber competition for either man. Plus, it’s heavyweight.
I actually think Frye might have the grappling edge — especially from top position — when most would stereotype the opposite. Neither fighter has a pro win via submission. This one is just like a competitive heavyweight setting on DWCS where a violent establishment of both chin and levels is extremely dicey to put money behind one way or another.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: This is a volatile fight that resembles a DWCS matchup. It’s gross, but I ultimately think Frye is undervalued to win the slugfest, and I think he could look -1000 if he found a way on top or if this fight is extended.
Melissa Croden vs. Luana Santos
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Croden | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
| Santos | Eligible |
UFC must have liked Melissa Croden‘s debut to give her the red corner over four-time UFC winner Luana Santos.
Croden finished Tainara Lisboa late in Round 3 during the October card in Vancouver after turning the tide. She lost the first round at distance before the relatively inexperienced 34-year-old’s gas tank gave out. It was still quite the debut to exit with a +3.92 SSR — and add a knockdown and two takedowns along the way.
Santos also finished Lisboa with seconds left in Round 2 in her last start. That came in May and solidified a move to 135 pounds after continuous scale issues at flyweight, but frankly, the easier division might suit her well despite just a 5’6″ frame, too. Santos’ striking accuracy (52%) and defense (62%) are quite strong despite facing several multi-time UFC winners, and she’s finished three of her five UFC foes.
Once again, the defining factor in this fight will be endurance. Croden proved to have a pretty solid tank to thwart Lisboa, and Santos has faded before. However, the skill discrepency between Lisboa and Croden in the first round — when fresh — also shows how comfortable Santos should be favored everywhere so long as she’s got the endurance to make it happen.
While not thrilled to lay -138, this feels like a spot to short Croden’s surprising inaugural effort.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Santos’ top-15 trajectory could be halted if she ends up being just too small to compete, but Croden looked lost before Lisboa gassed out, and the Brazilian has legitimate submission danger. I’m willing to play Luana’s moneyline and sub prop.
Sean Sharaf vs. Steven Asplund
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Sharaf | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
| Asplund | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
One of the unexpected stars of this past DWCS was Steven Asplund, and this certainly feels like a prop-up spot at the Apex for him.
Asplund’s trash-talk-filled main event against Anthony Guarascio became a 16-second firefight that you’d have presumed didn’t benefit the Minnesota native, but he won it. For as long as it lasted, Asplund defended 71% of his opponent’s strikes, too.
In general, the self-proclaimed former “fat boy” is an interesting prospect at heavyweight because of his elite hand speed and seemingly granite chin. He’s only lost in pro MMA via submission despite ceding size and mass to most foes. If you’re looking for a comp, I’d say it’s plausible Asplund has a UFC career similar to Chris Daukaus, who shot into the rankings before his chin cracked on the back of elite hand speed.
That’s not to say Sean Sharaf has no chance to pull the upset. The Xtreme Couture product lost his wild UFC debut to Junior Tafa, failing on seven of eight takedown tries that exhausted him in the process. The 32-year-old was a ground-and-pound specialist on the regional scene, so failing to floor Tafa wasn’t an ideal start.
While Sharaf could end up looking -500 from top position, every fight starts on the feet, and he leads a weak card in significant strikes absorbed per minute (9.79) despite the Tafa brothers not always known for volume. If he allows Asplund to roll downhill, this low-level bout could get ugly.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: This doesn’t seem like the spot where UFC has set up a DWCS surprise star to fail. I will play Asplund & Fight Starts R2 at +170, laddering a late finish that more closely resembles the mounting storm that “Concrete” was on regional tape.
Neil Magny vs. Yaroslav Amosov
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Magny | Eligible |
| Amosov | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
Extreme plus money on Neil Magny? Don’t tempt me with a good time.
Perhaps we wrote the obituary of “The Haitian Sensation” a bit too soon when his five losses since the start of 2022 are all top-12 fighters: Shavkat, Ian Machado Garry, Michael Morales, Carlos Prates, and a younger version of Gilbert Burns. Good God.
Magny was in trouble early in his last fight in a road date with Jake Matthews, but an officiating gaffe gave him an opening, and he took advantage of it to thwart the surging veteran in Round 3. He did the same to Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Mike Malott outside the first frame. The veteran has maintained a +0.97 SSR despite just a brutal strength of schedule.
It’s interesting to see him draw Yaroslav Amosov in the Ukrainian’s UFC debut. Amosov is a former 170-pound champion with Bellator, collecting impressive wins over Logan Storley (x2) and Douglas Lima along the way. His last fight, a first-round submission of former UFC fighter Curtis Millender, earned him this nod. It’s worth mentioning Millender is now 38, though.
Bellator’s UFC transitions have had mixed results, but the 170-pound representative before this — Michael “Venom” Page — has made the most of his opportunity.
I love Magny, who has perpetually been undervalued by the UFC community. However, Amosov’s sambo-heavy style can absolutely run through Magny’s 55% takedown D. The Magny fight that no one has mentioned leading up to this fight is Michael Chiesa, and I think Amosov can replicate Chiesa’s total dominance in that one.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Something tells me this isn’t an infinite money glitch after Magny burned parlay bettors in consecutive fights. It’s hard to not see Amosov controlling him for a vast majority of this fight.
Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac Thomson
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Brito | Eligible |
| Thomson | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
I’d be lying if I said I knew a ton about newcomer Isaac Thomson, but having Joanderson Brito show up in his bracket at 23 years old is a testament to his potential MMA future.
Brito’s UFC record is just 3-2, but he earned some fans with explosive wins over Andre Fili and Jack Shore. Plus, he was flatly robbed (via split decision) against William Gomis in Paris. However, I still have concerns for Brito around a ranked level, including poor striking (42%) and takedown (56%) defense that were no issue, respectively, for Bill Algeo or Pat Sabatini.
The Brazilian’s 0.52 KD% hasn’t really been a sign of elite power. I’d sooner be wary of his five submission attempts in five bouts.
Brito lost his fight with Melsik Baghdasaryan on Monday, but Thomson certainly is a darn good late-minute solution. The Aussie knocked out DWCS alum Lerryan Douglas as part of a decent strength of schedule in LFA. He’s large for the division. I didn’t see much wrestling offense, but he was able to defend takedowns and hasn’t been submitted as a pro.
I’ve never been a Brito guy. The archetype here is “power guy without much analytical power” plus “grappler without any takedown defense or get-up game”. You can let a lot of fights slip away, and Thomson will put numbers out there and win minutes.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: I don’t yet know if I’ll back Thomson here, but the over seems solid. Training at Team Alpha Male, I trust the prospect’s zero career submissions to survive — and potentially thrive — on short notice.
Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson
Model Results
| Fighter | Win | ITD | Win by KO | Win by Sub | Win by Dec |
| Lemos | 35.39% | 16.64% | 9.63% | 7.01% | 18.75% |
| Robertson | 64.61% | 37.94% | 9.90% | 28.04% | 26.67% |
This is a huge fight to determine Gillian Robertson‘s ceiling in this new 115-pound weight class. Other title hopefuls like Mackenzie Dern and Iasmin Lucindo weren’t enough to squeak by Amanda Lemos, and the former now has the strap for the time being.
Robertson has decorated women’s division record books with her 76.9% finish rate in UFC wins. It’s an unusual outlier in a division built on decisions, but “The Savage” uses her wrestling (2.74 takedowns per 15) and grappling (0.9 submission attempts per 15) to dominate lesser foes, including a 5-1 record at strawweight.
On paper, Lemos’ 64% takedown D is somewhat gettable. Of course, Weili Zhang absolutely dominated her with 164 significant strikes, 6 takedowns, and a boatload of ground-and-pound. The Brazilian’s specialty is a willingness to eat one (45% striking D) to give a powerful one (1.49 KD%), which is how she’s knocked out eight pro foes.
Robertson’s one loss at strawweight to Tabatha Ricci was fairly predictable when “Baby Shark” has never allowed multiple takedowns behind her excellent balance and strength. Lemos has allowed 12 in her last five fights.
We’ll know very early in this fight whether or not Robertson can cover this big of a number, but I see her improving striking and dominant ground game winning against most 115ers. In terms of just the grappling component of MMA, I think it’s fair to put her on par with Weili Zhang, who didn’t need much striking to turn back “Amandinha”.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: My model’s verdict didn’t really leave Robertson super playable here. I’ve got submission at +257 and decision at +283. It’ll depend on your book, but I’m glad I got moneyline exposure earlier this week.
King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Green | Eligible |
| Gibson Jr. | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
It’s beyond random that this fight was rushed into 2025. Maybe our old friend King Green needs a little cash for presents.
It hasn’t been the best 18 months or so for the UFC veteran, who was on the wrong side of a Mauricio Ruffy highlight and Paddy Pimblett’s rise up the rankings. I still have a ton of respect for Green’s skills as he enters with a supremely tested +2.68 SSR with plus striking (62%) and takedown (74%) defense. Really, Green’s grappling woes against Pimblett came via his own choice to grapple.
Durability and fight IQ are the two major questions with Green at this stage. If you guaranteed this fight was going the distance, this is a guy who mopped Jim Miller at UFC 300 — and “A-10” isn’t short on power for those claiming King’s chin is dust.
That’s really why most I’ve seen are betting Lance Gibson Jr. here. The 30-year-old is a second-generation fighter on both sides of his family. Lance Gibson Sr. is a UFC alum, but his mother, Julia Budd, might actually be the more famous MMA party as a former Bellator champ.
Gibson Jr.’s 5-1 Bellator record is certainly a little padded, but the true problem is inactivity. He’s fought just three times since the start of 2023, and two of those bouts weren’t even at a Bellator level.
At the regional level, Gibson seems to have some heat behind his punches and submission danger, but Green’s “chin” concerns might be a bit unfair as Ruffy, Jalin Turner, and Drew Dober authored his last three losses by KO.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: I was torn here, but this would be Green’s first loss to someone without multiple wins since 2011. Bobby doesn’t have a ton of power, so I’d play late (T)KO or decision for him.
Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Nzechukwu | Eligible |
| Buchecha | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
In some ways, Valter Walker drew up the blueprint. Can Marcus Buchecha borrow it to collect his first UFC win?
Walker dipped down for his patented heel hook to hand Kennedy Nzechukwu his first loss at heavyweight, and UFC is checking if he learned any lessons from that fight here. Nzechukwu has now been submitted twice in UFC in addition to the momentary lapses in durability and/or striking volume that we saw from “The African Savage” at 205 pounds.
Kennedy’s tools are just next level as he grows into a 6’5″ frame with an 83″ reach, and his 80% takedown D will be paramount here. I can’t imagine he’ll play with Buchecha, an IBJJF Hall of Famer, on the ground if he can help it. That was Martin Buday’s formula to beat the Brazilian in July, stuffing 10 of his 11 tries — albeit some of it naturally with his massive size.
Buchecha’s archetype is a dying one in UFC. He’s a jiu-jitsu specialist that exited his debut showing poor striking, cardio, and wrestling. His lone hope is snatching the limbs of untrained heavyweights in scrambles, after getting hurt, or occasionally successful takedowns. That could happen here, though.
While Walker caught him by surprise, it’s not like Nzechukwu is a totally zero grappling. He’s won UFC fights that involved danger on the ground against the likes of Danilo Marques, Karl Roberson, and Ion Cutelaba.
All of that said, I just don’t trust his inconsistent fight IQ to survive a good 6-to-8 minutes of real danger without getting reversed, ceding top position, or giving up his back. Plus, the favorite reps Fortis MMA, which I’m always good to fade by default.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Frankly, Buchecha isn’t necessarily just a BJJ guy because he couldn’t get a mountain, Buday, to the canvas. It’s possible we see a much, much better performance. The best bet here is the under, but I think Buchecha finds a submission in the first two rounds.
Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere
Model Results
| Fighter | Win | ITD | Win by KO | Win by Sub | Win by Dec |
| Costa | 65.71% | 19.76% | 3.35% | 16.40% | 45.95% |
| Charriere | 34.29% | 25.39% | 18.08% | 7.31% | 8.90% |
Merab’s loss last week has the Fighter of the Year award wide open. Melquizael Costa is a win on Saturday from at least being an “other receiving votes”.
Costa would climb to 4-0 in 2025 with a victory over Morgan Charriere — and with quite the pelts on the wall. He earned every second of wins over Christian Rodriguez, Andre Fili, and Julian Erosa. The Chute Box product has proven to be an exciting, efficient striker with plenty of submission danger (1.2 submission attempts per 15 minutes). His only featherweight loss came to Steve Garcia via — believe it or not — a patented “Mean Machine” KO.
Charriere is no easy task, though. Nate Landwehr figured that out in his home state after “The Last Pirate” blitzed him in the third round for a knockout. That was easily the most substantial win of Charriere’s UFC tenure with Manolo Zecchini and Gabriel Miranda representing his other triumphs.
You can’t discuss Charriere without mentioning his insane durability, losing just 1 of his 32 pro fights by stoppage. However, that’s also come with a 5-10 record by decision to show that if the power (1.48 KD%) doesn’t take over the fight, he’s struggled to win minutes.
Melky hasn’t dropped a UFC foe yet, either. The model likes a submission or decision for him in a more decisive fashion than oddsmakers, and it comes strictly down to — against superior competition — his +1.35 SSR opposite Charriere’s -0.46 SSR. It’ll be tough to overcome that when the Brazilian also has the grappling edge.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Playing Costa via submission or decision is an easy look from the model. Though his wins have been close in spots, it’s been against significantly stiffer competition than Charriere’s.
Cesar Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk
Model Results
| Fighter | Eligibility |
| Almeida | Eligible |
| Oleksiejczuk | Ineligible (Below 5 Fights) |
Brotherhood was a theme of this past DWCS. Charles Jourdain’s brother got a contract, and Cezary Oleksiejczuk, brother of longtime middleweight contender Michal, followed suit.
Oleksiejczuk was roughly a -325 favorite opposite Theo Haig, a Bellator alum, on the show and delivered a first-round knockout. He earned the same result against UFC flameout Tom Breese in his previous start before that. The Polish powerhouse is just 25 years old but seems to have a bright future with time to round out the edges at the same Fighting Nerds gym that has patched up Michal’s grappling woes.
Grappling won’t be an issue opposite kickboxing specialist Cesar Almeida. Last we saw “Cesinha”, he delivered a knockout for the ages against the ever-dangerous Abdul Razak-Alhassan to correct a stock that had fallen with repeated fouls in a decision win over Ihor Potieria and a loss (via split decision) to Roman Kopylov.
In MMA or kickboxing, the 37-year-old Almeida has never been knocked out. It’s really hard to pass on plus money in a standup affair when, just like last week with Iwo Baraniewski, this price is inflated for the shiny new toy. It might work as that one did in sloppy fashion, but Almeida’s +1.84 SSR against a decent level of competition deserves credit until we see the veteran’s speed or fleeting durability with age get the better of him.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: As I said on the Wednesday show, I don’t want to overcomplicate things. Almeida is +175 against a guy whose first pitch won’t be to take him down. I really don’t think I can pass when the public’s betting activity mirrors my “shiny new toy” theory.
Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos
Model Results
| Fighter | Win | ITD | Win by KO | Win by Sub | Win by Dec |
| Chikadze | 31.64% | 8.29% | 7.25% | 1.05% | 23.35% |
| Vallejos | 68.36% | 24.09% | 19.86% | 4.23% | 44.27% |
You’ve got to give credit to Giga Chikadze. The man I once called “The Giga Fraud” has accepted fights with Arnie Allen, David Onama, and now Kevin Vallejos in three straight fights in his late 30s. He is clearly afraid of no one.
Unfortunately for Chikadze, he was also the last fighter to lose to a declining Calvin Kattar in 2022 to start a 1-3 skid, and the tight decision over Alex Caceras in 2023 wasn’t exactly a show of strength. The Georgian is a one-dimensional, low-volume striker with a fading +0.34 SSR. It’s just hard to win minutes that way, and his power (0.98 KD%) hasn’t made enough of an appearance inside the rankings.
Vallejos, meanwhile, is one of the brightest prospects in the division. At just 21 years old, he went to a decision with Jean Silva on DWCS, aced his re-entry chance against Cam Teague, and has dispatched multi-time winners, Seungwoo Choi and Danny Silva, in his first two UFC outings. His +1.05 SSR includes 15 minutes of Silva, which is a testament to his boxing prowess and iron-clad durability.
I’m not sure this will be tremendously easy for the Argentinian ceding six inches in reach, but he wasn’t given this co-main event spot to fail. He’s the exact type of pocket marauder that can eliminate Chikadze’s advantages at kicking range, and he might expand upon the two takedowns he landed against Silva when Giga’s issues with wrestling defense date back to Jamall Emmers in 2020.
Be careful with Vallejos’ knockout promises on Twitter. Chikadze hasn’t been stopped with strikes in 20 pro fights, including several fights inside the top 10 at this stage. Vallejos’ 0.90 KD% to this point is also just okay. My model likes a longer — but successful — outing for the rapidly ascending youngster.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Vallejos’ knockout line was a huge bummer. I think it’s because he’s campaigning for it on Twitter. The reality is this will be a tough night at the office for him, so I lobbied for Vallejos’ decision prop in our show’s longshot parlay. I’m not sure I’d play anything in this fight at current price.
Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape
Model Results
| Fighter | Win | ITD | Win by KO | Win by Sub | Win by Dec |
| Royval | 52.36% | 23.50% | 5.78% | 17.72% | 28.86% |
| Kape | 47.64% | 26.25% | 18.88% | 7.37% | 21.39% |
The MMA “film bros” could have quite the set of holiday presents. Petr Yan is atop the mountain at bantamweight, and Manel Kape could enter the top three at flyweight with a win as a prohibitive favorite in the final bout of 2025.
Kape’s technical striking is a favorite of that community, and frankly, no one has beaten “Starboy” in convincing fashion yet. At best, Alexandre Pantoja, Matheus Nicolau, and Muhammed Mokaev were able to neutralize his power and offense to win a decision. Asu Almabayev’s “never stop shooting takedowns” approach was a nightmarish one for him into Kape’s 81% takedown D.
I’m fascinated by this matchup with Brandon Royval, who I’d tab one of UFC’s most unique fighters. “Raw Dawg” doesn’t get his due for taking Pantoja and Joshua Van to the brink in addition to wins over Brandon Moreno and Tatsuro Taira that have aged like wine.
Royval’s pace is his signature attribute. He averages 13.54 significant strike attempts per minute, which allows him to overcome a 43% striking defense with non-stop pressure. He has been dropped three times in UFC, including by Van to ostensibly decide the fight.
By a look at the betting line, it seems public consensus is that Kape’s 1.10 KD% is going to find his chin at some point, but that’s actually a similar rate of power to Taira, who never did. I actually think a majority of the public is discounting that Kape, who has struggled with weight issues, will be forced into a hellish tornado of limbs for 25 minutes with a guy who never goes backwards.
Royval was a similar underdog against Taira, but my model sees him 57.2% likely to post more significant strikes in a fight that doesn’t have much of a wrestling threat on either side. That’s a bargain at +230 and creates longshot opportunities with late-finish props.
SWAMI’S CRYSTAL BALL SAYS: Royval is the striking equivilent of Fluffy Hernandez. He can absolutely melt an inconsistent, flaky contender that’s fought at a slower pace previously. I’ll ladder 4/5/Dec outcomes (with sub sprinkles) for “Raw Dawg” in the last fight of the year.
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